Drafting Minor Leaguers? Be Wary of the California League

Written by Charlie Saponara on .

If you are in a league that drafts or stashes minor league players, this article from Baseball America is a very good read.  One of the hardest things to do when looking at minor league statistics is to try and translate those numbers into future major league production.  The article from BA has the offensive production totals from the 2009 minor league season for each league.  Read the article for the full chart, but there were two leagues that pop out immediately.  Already well known as being hitter’s leagues, the California league and Pacific coast league.  Those two leagues have an average ISO of .1465 compared to all the rest of the leagues, which check in at an average ISO of .1223.  The chart below shows the differences in each category from the article.  This does not include short season leagues. 

 

2010_ml_league_hitting_stats

 

This information is important when looking at some names that put up gaudy stats in 2009.

 

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Strategy: The 7/10 Split

Written by Charlie Saponara on .

One of my base strategies that I have been using over the past few years in standard mixed league snake drafts is what I call the "7/10 Split".  I call it that because, well, it's catchy, but it also represents the basic concept itself.  Since there are always tons of pitchers to chose from on any given season and plenty that pop up out of nowhere to become waiver wire gems, I don't value starters highly on draft day.  That is to say that you won't see me selecting Zack Greinke, CC Sabathia or anyone else that comes off the board early.  Instead I try and target my first starter in round seven.  The other half of the split is for closers.  There aren't as many closers around as starters, but the turnover rate is always high.  Also, it seems like just about every season someone jumps up the charts and becomes a top closer the following season (i.e. Jonathan Broxton).  So, I want to target my first closer in the tenth round. 
 

Relievers and High Inning Totals: Should We Be Worried About Andrew Bailey?

Written by Charlie Saponara on .

I was in the middle of the final 2010 Sleepers, Comebacks and Busts article, which will cover the closers, when I came across the name Andrew Bailey and noticed that he had thrown over 80 innings last season (83.1 to be exact).  Which brought to mind something I had read before (on espn.com I think?) about how relievers who throw 80-plus innings tend to fall off the next season.  Heath Bell comes to mind from 2007 to 2008.  Bell threw 93.2 innings in 2007 and his 2008 numbers regressed quite a bit in ERA and WHIP especially.  I wanted to do some research for myself to see how this could possibly affect a pitcher like Andrew Bailey in 2010, going back to 2007 and using 80 innings pitched as the cut-off point.
 
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2010 Sleepers, Comebacks and Busts: Starters

Written by Charlie Saponara on .

There was no post yesterday, mostly because the task of identifying sleepers and busts out of the starting pitchers pool should be a three-day affair. One thing is for sure, there are a lot of arms to choose from and there will be a lot more coming from the minor leagues as the season moves along. For draft day purposes, here are the 2010 sleepers, comebacks and busts in the starting rotation.

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2010 Sleepers, Comebacks and Busts: Outfield

Written by Charlie Saponara on .

One thing we know for sure:There are plenty of outfielders to go around. That means that there should be plenty of value later in the draft as well as plenty of busts all the way through. Which players are set to breakout? Who will comeback? Who will disappoint? Let's take a look...

Ten Biggest Stories of the Spring So Far

Written by Mark Schruender on .

Spring training isn't that important for most players. Think of it as the NFL preseason. Get the reps in and don't get hurt. There are also players that aren't under the category of "most players." They are the ten biggest stories in spring training so far and deserve to be watched closely over the next four weeks.

  1. Jose Reyes' thyroid. He was probably going to be at the top of the list anyway, but now that he's back in New York to undergo tests for an overactive thyroid. For head to head leagues, this creates an opportunity. His teammate Jeff Francoeur went as far as saying that Reyes was back just a week ago, but things have changed since. Keep in mind Reyes claims that he hasn't felt abnormal and the hamstring shouldn't be an issue since there was talk of him coming back at the end of last year. Diagnosis: Maybe this is a break for head to head leagues who can get him cheaper now, and even if he needs to miss time, it will be at the beginning of the year not the end.

Mailbag: Pitching Prospects to Watch?

Written by Charlie Saponara on .

Today we take a break from the "2010 Sleepers, Comebacks and Busts" series to look at some players that may not make any roster on draft day, but could come into consideration at some point in 2010. 
 
Every year pitchers come out of nowhere and surprise fantasy owners.  Sometimes these pitchers are Major League veterans that have a breakout year and sometimes they are the young guns that come up from the minors and get off to a hot start. 
 
Daniel M. follows up once again with some pitching prospects to keep in mind as the 2010 season progresses.
 
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2010 Sleepers, Comebacks and Busts: Shortstop

Written by Charlie Saponara on .

Our final stop around the horn is shortstop where we can find some power early and plenty of speed late.  Who makes the cut as a sleeper and who may have trouble living up to expectations?  Let's take a look...
 
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