Skeptics Say: Tulo has seen his steals drop from 20 to 11 to 9 (with less steals in more at-bats last year). Also, there's a possibility that the pain in his elbow right now is more serious than the X-rays would indicate. Fantasy teams wish Tulo would just keep his mouth shut.
Peer Comparison: Take your pick on the player below:
Player A: 537 at-bats .337 AVG .877 OPS 101 Runs 44 RBI
Player B: 537 at-bats .302 AVG .916 OPS 81 Runs 105 RBI
Player A is Jose Reyes from last season and Player B is of course Tulo. The two are separated of course by steals and home runs considerably, but while those two stats could cancel each other out, Tulo's RBI and run production combined are much stronger than Reyes. Also, I still am skeptical that Reyes can stay on the field.
Lineup Outlook: Dexter Fowler had an amazing second half last year, but let's keep things in perspective. He was a .266 hitter with not much speed or power. Tyler Colvin has hit 20 home runs in the majors, is a year younger than Fowler, and had an OPS over 1.000 this spring. Fowler could see his time reduced some and who knows what sort of domino effect that brings on Tulo.
What They're Saying: CBS Sportsline: #1 Shortstop; Tristan Cockcroft of ESPN.com: #1 Shortstop & #5 Overall; Yahoo: #1 Shortstop & #5 Overall; Mock Draft Central ADP: #1 Shortstop & #6 Overall; RotoChamp: #10 Overall
Projection: Staying healthy is the most important mission, but anything over 500 at-bats should make Tulo the best shortstop.
94 R 33 HR 109 RBI 12 SB .303 AVG .935 OPS in 570 at-bats