Skeptics Say: He may have finished 2011 injury free, but Ramirez has seen the DL four times since 2005. He also is one season removed from a less than desirable .241 AVG. Of course that was paired with a career high strikeout percentage, and that did drop back down to be more in line with his career percentage in 2011, and despite the low average he wasn't lacking for power, still giving us 25 HR's and an ISO of .211. To me we should be more worried about Ramirez staying on the field than this being the year his perceived age catches up with him.
Peer Comparison: Ramirez is being taken about 30 picks after David Wright in drafts at Mock Draft Central, the difference between 3rd round and 6th round. Granted, Wright is younger, but his trends have all been going in the wrong direction. Moving in the fences at Citi Field will help some, but that doesn't help when he isn't making solid contact (line drive rate in decline last three years), or strikes out (increasing over the last three years). Ramirez on the other hand and his down 2010 year feature numbers that were more of an anomaly rather than trend. He bounced back to career average or better in AVG, BABIP, wOBA, SLG, and Line Drive percentage. Now we look at the potency of the Brewers line up compared to that of the Mets, and things are lining up, on paper at least, for Ramirez to finish with more value than Wright. Does this mean that I think Wright is a worse player than Ramirez? No, I'm a Mets fan and I love Wright. I have hope that he can bounce back to his former self, but if it comes down to grabbing a player that has been trending downward for three seasons in round 3 and hoping for a bounce back or drafting a player that's a season removed from an off year that was bookmarked by two seasons where he performed to expectation, and those expectations are a .280 AVG with 25 HR's and 90 RBI, in the 6th round, I'm gonna spend that 3rd round pick elsewhere.
Lineup Outlook: Fielder is gone, Braun is missing 50 games (probably). They will need big production from Ramirez and Hart to stay afloat in Braun's absence. Once he is in the lineup though, the Brewers shouldn't have any problem scoring runs if everyone is healthy. That's a big if, with the injury histories of Ramirez and Weeks on that roster.
What They're Saying: #12 Third baseman; Tristan Cockroft of ESPN.com - #11 Third baseman & #99 Overall; RotoChamp - #72 Overall Mock Draft Central - #7 Third baseman and #67 Overall
Projection: I like the move from the Cubs to the Brewers. Like I said before, I think this guy gets a bad rap, and maybe now that he is on a competitive team he might get some more respect.
.284 AVG, 26 HR, 95 RBI, 70 Runs, 0 steals, .350 OBP, .870 OPS in 510 AB's
Im avoiding Aramis the same way Im avoiding Jimmy Rollins on draft day. The main reason why these guys made it through 140 games last year was that they were playing for a contract. Now saddled with cushy 3 year deals, what are the odds that they're going to muscle through the minor injuries of a 162 game season? What are the odds that their managers are going to push either of them to play through aches and pains when the Brewers and Phillies are likely going to be at the top of their divisions mid-summer? I predict 100 games for both players.
@JamesTarantino I can respect that, and also had the same concerns with Adrian Beltre when he signed with Texas. That said, Ramirez wasn't playing for a contract in all those years with the Cubs either. They actually resigned him to extensions the year before he was technically in his contract seasons. I think the change of scenery is going to be good for him.