Before last season, I had touted Seth Smith as somewhat of an undervalued asset to fantasy baseball players. He was on many of my teams in which the league stretched to 14-plus teams and, for a good part of the season, he was a borderline top 100 fantasy player. He had too really bad months, July and September, which unfortunately brought his overall numbers down.no comments
Key Stats: C.J. Wilson was a top 50 player in fantasy baseball last year playing in the worst pitcher's park in all of baseball according to ESPN Park Factors. Now he goes to the OC and the park that was 27th in all of baseball in terms of runs by Park Factors. In three starts at Angel Stadium last year, Wilson had an 0.53 ERA. During the last two seasons his ERA has been significantly worse at home than it has been on the road. This switch was perfect.
Skeptics Say: He is coming off of a contract year in which he got a really big contract. Between finding a new house and finding a way to spend his new found wealth, how much time did he spend getting in shape for a season? There's a reason that players typically dip after a contract year and Wilson could be another example of that this season.
Skeptics Say: Freeman doesn't hit lefties very well. The difference in average against lefties was about 50 points last season. Situational lefties will get their work in against him late in games, so hopefully he isn't bunched in the lineup with another lefty such as Jason Heyward so teams have to pick their spots of when they have guys face Freeman.
Freeman also doesn't have the best plate discipline. It is hardly unusual for a 21-year-old, but it's worth noting that he had the 21st best strikeout to walk rate among first basemen last season.
Our 2012 keeper rankings focus on leagues that must gage the value of players for at least the next 3-5 years.
First base is a deep fantasy position and features a nice group of young up-and-comers that should see their spot on these rankings increase with each passing season. Here are our top 34 first base keepers…no comments
The Cardinals reached the pinnacle in winning the World Series in 2011. That was followed up by the sobering reality that Albert Pujols would no longer be donning their uniform after signing with the Angels. On the bright side, the team has a number of high ceiling players down on the farm.no comments
Skeptics Say: For the record his ERA and WHIP were both better at home last year. Virtually everyone who knows anything about fantasy baseball will be forecasting that Latos will go over his 3.47 ERA and 1.18 WHIP next season.
Earlier today, I participated in my first mock draft of the new year. Justin Occhionero of SonsOfRoto.com and myself hosted and drafted alongside some other writers and readers.
As an experiment, I decided to “play it blind” meaning I did not have my rankings sheets in front of me. It was an interesting exercise, but I did lose track of position depth at certain points, which left me a bit thin at closer and with some risk in my outfield. As normal, I couldn’t pull the trigger early on pitching and missed out on some of my top targets there. I ended up filling some thin positions early, which in a real league might have me in a favorable position to make one or two pre-season trades.
I drafted tenth out of 12. Positions were: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OF (4), UT, P (9), BN (2). He’s my team’s breakdown…
(You can view the overall results here)