Fantasy Baseball 365
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Skeptics Say: Hopefully the .186 average in September is just a bad month and not a player getting worn down. Victorino will be 31 this season, so it's unlikely he's getting worn down. What is likely to happen though is that he will start to see a decline in his stolen base attempts. Victorino attempted only 22 steals last season compared to 40 in 2010. no comments
Skeptics Say: That is a huge if. Catchers are going to play less anyway, but considering 162 games to be a full season, Mauer has missed 20% of a season three different times and was right on that mark in 2005. There's also a huge question about him in the categories outside of batting average. Since moving to Target Field, Mauer has hit 1 home run in 396 at-bats. The lineup around him isn't going to help with RBI and runs either. no comments
Key Stats: Shin-Soo Choo played in only 85 games last season. That’s a problem in and of itself, but when he was on the field for those 85 games he was not the player he was in 2010 when he was the 34th ranked player in all of fantasy baseball. His walk rate was down, strikeout rate was up, average was down, and home run and double rates were down. We can’t blame all of this on playing hurt either – unless there’s an injury we did not know about. Choo was hitting .244 in late June before a pitch broke his thumb and put him on the shelf for seven weeks.
Skeptics Say: If he is healthy, he will help in all categories, but not exactly blow you away either. Choo has never had more than 90 RBI or runs scored in a season. He’s also never stolen more than 22 bases or hit 22 home runs in a season. no comments
Our 2012 keeper rankings focus on leagues that must gage the value of players for at least the next 3-5 years.
C – 1B – 2B – 3B – SS – OF – DH – SP - CL
While second base has some extremely talented hitters toward the top of the list, there are more than a few question marks as we get past the mid-way mark in the rankings. no commentsI was in the process of trying to finish up my 2012 second base keeper rankings when the name Gordon Beckham came across my eyes. Unlike most of the players I was ranking toward the bottom half of the list, Beckham struck me as one that, in some ways, shouldn't be there. But why? What has made this former first round pick (8th overall and rated as the 20th best prospect in baseball by Baseball America in 2009) such a colossal flop at the big league level?
no commentsKey Stats: Last season was certainly a disappointing year for Jayson Werth, but more eyebrows were raised after he signed his 7 year $126 million contract than they were when he fell 195 spots in the rankings. Werth was supposed to come apart a little last year because of the pressure of the contract and his inflated 2010 season by the numbers. That 2010 season saw him have a .352 BABIP (about 30 points higher than his career BABIP) and saw him finish with a career high 45% fly ball rate as he moved from an above average home run hitting park to an average one.
Skeptics Say: Werth will be 33 in May. That’s officially past your prime as a ball player, so he will never come close to being a top twenty kind of player again. There also wasn’t really a stretch where Werth demonstrated he was capable of carrying a fantasy team last year. He did not hit over .300 in any month and did not hit more than 4 home runs in any month. If he gets hurt even for a two week time period this year, he will have a hard time achieving this preseason ranking. no comments
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