ERA/FIP Differences: With a Little Luck
Below is a list of every pitcher (minimum of 100 IP) that had an FIP of one-half run or more higher than his ERA. These pitchers may have had a bit of luck on their side in 2010 and that luck may not stick in 2011.
Note: Some of the top tier guys (Felix, Halladay, etc...) have over a half-run higher FIP, but should still be considered top tier options in 2011.
| Name | BABIP | ERA | FIP | Diff |
| Clay Buchholz | 0.265 | 2.33 | 3.61 | -1.28 |
| Tommy Hunter | 0.264 | 3.73 | 4.99 | -1.26 |
| Tim Hudson | 0.250 | 2.83 | 4.09 | -1.26 |
| Brian Duensing | 0.276 | 2.62 | 3.85 | -1.23 |
| Trevor Cahill | 0.238 | 2.97 | 4.19 | -1.22 |
| Jon Garland | 0.267 | 3.47 | 4.41 | -0.94 |
| Jonathan Sanchez | 0.262 | 3.07 | 4.00 | -0.93 |
| Vin Mazzaro | 0.289 | 4.27 | 5.13 | -0.86 |
| R.A. Dickey | 0.282 | 2.84 | 3.65 | -0.81 |
| Felix Hernandez | 0.273 | 2.27 | 3.04 | -0.77 |
| Bronson Arroyo | 0.246 | 3.88 | 4.61 | -0.73 |
| Wade Davis | 0.281 | 4.07 | 4.79 | -0.72 |
| Jaime Garcia | 0.302 | 2.70 | 3.41 | -0.71 |
| David Price | 0.279 | 2.72 | 3.42 | -0.70 |
| Randy Wolf | 0.283 | 4.17 | 4.85 | -0.68 |
| Madison Bumgarner | 0.322 | 3.00 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| Ted Lilly | 0.259 | 3.62 | 4.27 | -0.65 |
| Jeremy Guthrie | 0.263 | 3.83 | 4.44 | -0.61 |
| Cole Hamels | 0.296 | 3.06 | 3.67 | -0.61 |
| Armando Galarraga | 0.268 | 4.49 | 5.09 | -0.60 |
| Dave Bush | 0.307 | 4.54 | 5.13 | -0.59 |
| Andy Pettitte | 0.295 | 3.28 | 3.85 | -0.57 |
| Roy Halladay | 0.298 | 2.44 | 3.01 | -0.57 |
| Johan Santana | 0.281 | 2.98 | 3.54 | -0.56 |
| Gio Gonzalez | 0.283 | 3.23 | 3.78 | -0.55 |
| Wade LeBlanc | 0.306 | 4.25 | 4.80 | -0.55 |
| Ian Kennedy | 0.265 | 3.80 | 4.33 | -0.53 |
| Roy Oswalt | 0.261 | 2.76 | 3.27 | -0.51 |
| Matt Cain | 0.260 | 3.14 | 3.65 | -0.51 |
| Matt Garza | 0.279 | 3.91 | 4.42 | -0.51 |
